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LESSONS

The Cantillon Effect

New money reaches some people first. They spend it at old prices; everyone downstream pays new prices. That is why money printing widens inequality.

5 MIN READ
New money flows from the central bank to banks, to asset owners, and finally to wage earners, with prices rising before it arrives.
LEVEL · Beginner
IN THIS LESSON · 5 OF 8
BY THE END YOU WILL BE ABLE TO ANSWER
  • Who benefits most from newly created money?
  • Which group is usually last to receive new money?
  • What happens to people at the front of the queue for new money?
  • In the 2020–21 expansion, which group received new money first: (1) wage earners, (2) banks and asset holders, or (3) pensioners? Enter the number.

Then prove it: a 3-question quiz · a challenge. The lesson marks itself complete at 100%.

After this lesson you can: explain who wins and who loses when new money enters.

In the 1700s, an Irish-French banker named Richard Cantillon noticed something that economists still name after him. When new money enters an economy, it does not arrive everywhere at once. It enters at specific points, and whoever is closest to those points benefits most.

The order of arrival

  1. Governments and central banks create it and spend it, or buy bonds with it.
  2. Banks and financial institutions receive it next, as reserves, bailouts and cheap credit.
  3. Asset owners and large borrowers get the credit and buy houses, stocks and companies, pushing their prices up.
  4. Wage earners and savers get it last, as a raise that arrives after rent, groceries and housing have already repriced.

The people at the front of the queue spend new money at old prices. The people at the back live with new prices and old incomes.

Animation: new money enters at the centre and prices ripple outward, reaching wage earners last.
New money ripples outward. Prices have already moved by the time it reaches the edge.

Why it matters

Two columns: a worker at the back of the queue and an asset owner at the front, over the same decade.
Same decade, opposite experiences.

This is the mechanism behind the sense that "everything is expensive and I can't get ahead" even when the economy is "growing". It also explains why decades of money creation coincide with record asset prices and a widening gap between people who own assets and people who do not.

Cantillon Effect Explained Easily · Short explainerWatch on YouTube ↗
MINI CHALLENGEWho got it first

In the 2020–21 expansion, which group received new money first: (1) wage earners, (2) banks and asset holders, or (3) pensioners? Enter the number.

CHECK YOURSELF
1/3 Who benefits most from newly created money?
2/3 Which group is usually last to receive new money?
3/3 What happens to people at the front of the queue for new money?
pick an answer for each question

Next

Inflation and dilution were not always the rule. There was a specific day when the last link to hard money was cut. Lesson 6: 1971.

SOURCES

  1. Cantillon effect (River Glossary)
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